Evening sportsfans!! a cracking card at cheltenham tomorrow & the jumps season is well & truly underway. some tricky handicaps i must admit but hopefully we've found a bit of value..
1pt e/w NADIYA DE LA VEGA 2.30 cheltenham (nap) 12/1 b.v.
a cracking contest this with some very classy types at the head of the handicap who have been plying there trade in graded contests so to give lumps of weight away in a handicap is going to be difficult. however lurking right at the bottom of the weights is the nicky henderson mare nadiya de la vega. she ran a gallant race last year behind al ferof & comes here on a 5lb lower mark but more importantly she had already made a winning debut last year when coming here & she is a different proposition when fresh as her record after a 60+ day break reads..1-1-1 !! the ground should be spot on for her & i'm expecting a big run here.
1pt e/w ALVARADO 1.50 cheltenham (nb) 12/1 bet victor
has had a pipe opener this season & to be honest i dont think this will be the strongest G3 handicap ran at prestbury park this year. burton port heads the weight off a mark of 158 giving the handicap a slightly lob sided look to it & i'd be surprised if he can get involved in this off that mark as its 6lb higher than when he was placed in the hennessy but that was in 2010 & you'd have to think hes regressed with age. last years winner monbeg dude is now racing off a 18lb higher mark so hes bypassed & if im honest i can make an excuse for almost everything in the field but alvarado could quite easily lob round behind them & gradually pick them off one by one with a bit of luck.
0.5pt e/w double
many thanks for following..
regards
ian
1pt e/w NADIYA DE LA VEGA 2.30 cheltenham (nap) 12/1 b.v.
a cracking contest this with some very classy types at the head of the handicap who have been plying there trade in graded contests so to give lumps of weight away in a handicap is going to be difficult. however lurking right at the bottom of the weights is the nicky henderson mare nadiya de la vega. she ran a gallant race last year behind al ferof & comes here on a 5lb lower mark but more importantly she had already made a winning debut last year when coming here & she is a different proposition when fresh as her record after a 60+ day break reads..1-1-1 !! the ground should be spot on for her & i'm expecting a big run here.
1pt e/w ALVARADO 1.50 cheltenham (nb) 12/1 bet victor
has had a pipe opener this season & to be honest i dont think this will be the strongest G3 handicap ran at prestbury park this year. burton port heads the weight off a mark of 158 giving the handicap a slightly lob sided look to it & i'd be surprised if he can get involved in this off that mark as its 6lb higher than when he was placed in the hennessy but that was in 2010 & you'd have to think hes regressed with age. last years winner monbeg dude is now racing off a 18lb higher mark so hes bypassed & if im honest i can make an excuse for almost everything in the field but alvarado could quite easily lob round behind them & gradually pick them off one by one with a bit of luck.
0.5pt e/w double
many thanks for following..
regards
ian
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