30/9/2013

Evening sportsfans!! well i won't be sorry to see the back of september i don't mind telling you!! but a fresh month brings a new dawn & hopefully a return to form..

1pt e/w STREET POWER 9.20 kempton (nap) 11/1 bet victor

drops into a C5 for the first time since his last win & has now dropped 2lb below his last winning mark.

1pt e/w KYLLADDIE 8.50 kempton (nb) 8/1 bet365

the switch back to polytrack can work the oracle for this one who has been ultra consistent on the surface. this will be the weakest race hes contested for quite a while & the drop in grade only adds to the case.

1pt e/w WEBBOW 7.20 kempton 16/1 bet365

it was only less than a year ago that the old boy was getting competitive in alot better races than this off nearly a stone higher! hes clearly a far better horse on polytrack than he is turf & he could be thrown in here.

e/w trixie (2pts in total)

theres a few that catch my eye at ayr so i've decided to throw a small e/w yankee together..

SECRET CITY 3.15 ayr 22/1 bet365

MONEL 4.25 ayr 13/2 paddy power

DRIVE HOME 5.00 ayr 14/1 bet365

FITZ FLYER 5.30 ayr 11/2 skybet

e/w yankee (2pts in total)

many thanks for following..

regards
ian

29/9/2013

Evening sportsfans!! a blank on saturday i'm afraid & we're now staring down the barrel of a 30pt loss this month..one day left to try & turn it around then!!

2pts e/w HIGH RESOLUTION 4.10 hamilton (nap) 6/1 bet365

he ran a blinder for us last time out when getting placed & the handicapper has done him a favour & left him alone. this is a weaker race than last time & the drop into C6 can work the oracle.

1pt e/w CRISTALIYEV 5.00 bath (nb) 20/1 bet365

last years winner comes here on a 2lb lower mark & also returns to his favoured 5f for the first time this season.

1pt e/w GOOD BOY JACKSON 3.40 hamilton 16/1 bet365

was quite a decent tool for kevin ryan last term & was travelling well last time out in a lot better race than this before weakening close home after coming back off a small break. he should be spot on for this now & this really isn't a strong race.

1pt e/w KLYNCH 4.40 hamilton 25/1 bet365

its hard to know how much ability the old boy retains but he has two wins & a place from five starts here at hamilton & this will be the weakest race hes contested since he ran up a hat trick on soft ground last summer.

e/w yankee (2pts in total)

here is this weeks #stealingaliving top ten!!

10. D

9. A

8. V

7. I

6. D

5. M

4. O

3. Y

2. E

1. S

the woeful man utd manger has swept the board!!!! :-)

many thanks for following..

regards
ian

27/9/2013

Evening sportsfans!! a bit late on parade today & ive got matchsticks holding my eyes open now the red bulls wearing off so i'll be as brief as i can..

2pts e/w NAVAJO CHIEF 5.50 haydock (nap) 16/1 skybet

i dont think he stays a yard further than a mile & hes dropped to his last winning mark which was a better race than this to be fair & he does like to be up there in the van so the application of the first time visor is a big plus also.

1pt e/w MAPPIN TIME 2.30 chester (nb) 14/1 bet365

now starting to look like a very well handicapped horse & hes been thereabouts on more than one occasion off higher marks recently & with a decent draw he should be able to drop in & track the speed nicely here & pounce off the home turn.

1pt e/w DR RED EYE 4.50 chester 14/1 bet365

another that has dropped to his last winning mark & if he can get out & grab that rail he'll be a tough cookie to pass here.

1pt e/w JACK LUEY 4.05 haydock 18/1 bet365

ran a big race last time out behind pearl ice & a repeat could well see him home here.

e/w yankee (2pts in total)

many thanks for following..

regards
ian

26/9/2013

Evening sportsfans!! a bit of a drought setting in at the minute & we're now facing an uphill struggle to finish the month in profit but hopefully tomorrow sees a return to form..

3pts e/w GUEST OF HONOUR 2.40 newmarket (nap) 13/2 betfred

after finishing down the field last time out in the arlington million he will find this far more to his liking. he was stuck wide that day so you can pretty much scrub that run but his form prior to that is rock solid. he gave montiridge 13lb & a thrashing on that ones seasonal debut & whilst the hannon horse has undoubtedly come on since he was far superior that day & on 9lb worse terms i cant see any reason for such a big turnaround in form. the race should be run perfectly for him as theres at least four or five of these that want to be on the pace & i can see them cutting each others throats. the ground will be to lively for old penitent & on a line through aljamaaheer & gregorian hes closely matched with soft falling rain but the south african bred horse doesn't look like he'll want quick ground to me but time will tell.

further selections will be added tomorrow morning..

many thanks for following..

regards
ian

25/9/2013

Evening sportsfans!! well the least said about today the better.. i think we'll leave it at that...

2pts e/w VICTRIX LUDORUM 5.25 newmarket (nap) 9/1 p.p.

her fourth behind hasopop over C&D in may is turning out to be quite a hot race with at least six winners coming out of it already & then backed that up with a fine second to boomerang bob in a listed contest which is also turning out to be a very decent race with the likes off mince & sirius prospect (won a handicap off 102 & a listed race since) in behind that day. her two latest efforts haven't been as good but they where over 7f, back at her optimum trip at her beloved newmarket she'll take all the beating here.

1pt e/w MAPPIN TIME 5.15 pontefract (nb) 14/1 bet365

has been knocking on the door for most of the summer & is still a couple of pound below his last winning mark. has the plum draw in the one box which should give him a nice toe into the race & with a bit of luck take it up about a furlong out & put it to bed..simple really!

1pt e/w REDACT 4.05 pontefract 8/1 bet victor

the step up in trip could be just what this lad wants as he's been running on over 7f & a mile. he shaped nicely on his penultimate start & then showed a bit more last time when fourth at the shergar cup meeting & whilst you do have to cherry pick it slightly he does have some decent bits of form.

1pt e/w PERTIUS 5.50 pontefract 12/1 bet365

three places & a win from his last four visits to ponte carlo & also goes very well for an amateur/apprentice. was second in the race last year off a pound higher mark & eva moscrop is a very capable pilot.

e/w yankee (2pts in total)

current position to advised bets this month: -8pts

many thanks for following..

regards
ian

24/9/2013

Evening sportsfans!! a bit of a head scratcher today if i'm honest & we're just not getting the rub of the green at the minute. i'm not one for excuses so its a case of wipe our mouths..and move on... simple as that..

5pts win PEARL CASTLE 3.05 goodwood (nap) 7/2 bet365

the step up to 12f is perfect for this son of montjeu now he takes on his elders for the first time & that massive weight for age allowance can do us a favour once again. the horse he beat last time out has since come out & won off a mark of 83 (easily) and the horse over 7l back in 4th pasaka boy has also come out & won off a mark of 84 giving the form a rock solid look about it. we know he goes on the track when he handled it fine when winning his maiden here in a race that has thrown up five winners from six runners. the further he goes the better he'll be & he'll gallop these into submission here.

4pts win SUGAR BOY 3.40 goodwood (nb) 9/2 bet victor

right then it doesn't take much to disect this race as brown panther wants an extra mile & grandeur has had three runs with cut in the ground resulting in three defeats but back on his favoured surface this lad looks rock solid here on his first start for the botti camp. i'm not convinced that he didn't stay the 12f trip last time out & i have a theory it may well have been the ground that undone him although it was no disgrace as it was a G1 contest. on his penultimate start in the sandown classic trial he had the likes of eye of the storm (pattern race winner since) galileo rock (since placed in three classics) and libertarian (G2 winner since & placed in the derby) behind him & he brings top level 3yo group form into this listed contest & he'll have far to much ammunition for these on this ground.

1pt win double

*please be aware my blog is for information purposes only and are just random guesses that i make that i occasionally get lucky with*

regards
ian

23/9/2013

Evening sportsfans!! seems we're not having the best of luck with the rides our selections are recieving at the minute with martin harley the latest to get his timing all wrong on the nap today & i think that can be put down as one that got away today to be honest. place money was landed though to give us a return but a slight loss on the day none the less..

1pt e/w CHARMING 2.30 lingfield (nap) 8/1 bet365

has now dropped to a favourable mark & the return of seb sanders is a big plus along with the first time blinkers as most of his better runs have all been with some form of headgear on.

1pt e/w POLISH WORLD 4.10 beverley (nb) 12/1 bet365

multiple C&D winner who has dropped way below his last winning mark & is also versatile as regards the ground. hes shown a spark of enthusiasm on his last two starts & if he gets on the front end & rolling here he could well be very difficult to peg back.

1pt e/w HAIL BOLD CHIEF 5.45 beverley 9/2 bet365

not normally a race i'd want to get involved in these amateur affairs but simon walker is different gravy to these lot in the saddle & his mount looks on a favourable mark here.

1pt e/w EASY TERMS 6.15 carlisle 16/1 bet365

gutsy mare who ideally would want as much rain as possible but shes one from one over C&D, below her last winning mark & goes well fresh.. that'll do for us!!

e/w yankee (2pts in total)

current position to advised bets this month: +12pts

many thanks for following..

regards
ian