Saturday, 3 November 2012

2/11/2012

Evening sportsfans!! well what a load of bollox yesterday was,our first foray into the NH arena proving less than fruitful to be honest & the sooner i move onto today the better!!! :-( now i said i was changing things around slightly so now i will be targeting a race & providing what i think are a lay,back & a trade so here goes...

3.25 WETHERBY BET365 CHARLIE HALL CHASE (G2)

i'm concentrating on what seems to be the centrepiece of todays NH card & could turn out to be a cracker.only six go to post but all have won over the trip but no one seems to have a fitness edge so we are batting tad blind in all fairness.you'll remember how i said in earlier posts about fitness & theres nothing worse than lumping on something only to look in the paddock & it be the size of a prize bull! the highest rated in the field is MIDNIGHT CHASE and he's our back selection.dougie costello gets on very well with neil mulhollands gelding & the pair can make a winning seasonal debut i think.hes appeared in the last two cheltenham gold cups & is a real class act,we do have to take a bit of a leap of faith fitness wise but at this stage of the season i think that comment will be banded around alot during the next six weeks.he has G2 winning form in the bag & i think he'll have far to many guns for the paul nicholls trained favourite SILVINIACO CONTI.now im not totally convinced the nicholls inmate wants this trip in all fairness & off his current BHA rating of 156 he has a couple of pound to find with at least two of todays field.on a saturday the nicholls runners seem to be far shorter than they should be & this is a prime example.hes just completed his novice season over the larger obstacles & picked up a couple of weak G2's in the process but when the gun was put to his head at the top level he failed & we'll be quite happy to take him on at the forecast prices.now when you look at the context of the race it seems pretty much a given that MIDNIGHT CHASE will get an uncontested lead with the others dropping in off the pace with the exception of TIME FOR RUPERT who may well be up with the early pace.both these horses would be an ideal trade as i think at some stage they are both going to trade shorter than there BSP (betfair starting price).

BACK:
2pts e/w MIDNIGHT CHASE (NAP)
LAY:
SILVINIACO CONTI

the other blog bets for today are...

3pts win BABY SHINE 2.15 ASCOT
2pt e/w RAYA STAR 2.35 ASCOT
4pts win SMAD PLACE 2.50

here are our current standings after yesterday...

total selections: 5
winners: 0
placed: 0
unplaced: 5
+/- to advised stakes: -10pts

well it looks like a tale of woe rather than a tale of the tape to be honest but no one said it would be easy!! the thing is & what people fail to realise is that by backing horses what you are trying to do is predict the future,not the easiest of tasks i must say!! stick with it & the tide will turn is what my late grandfather used to say but i must admit theres been a few times when ive looked upto the stars this past month waiting for divine inspiration pops!! many thanks for taking the time to read my blog & good luck with whatever you decide for your money today. :-)

regards
ian

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