Thursday, 30 May 2013

30/5/2013

Evening sportsfans!! straight into tomorrow as its oaks day!! theres something about waking up on the morning of a classic with a spring in your step..hopefully we can find a few winners..

3pts e/w LICENCE TO TILL 2.10 epsom (nap) 14/1 paddy power

2pts e/w THE LARK 4.00 epsom (nb) 18/1 bet365

1pt e/w PENITENT 2.45 epsom 8/1 william hill

1pt e/w VAINGLORY 3.20 epsom 12/1 bet365

0.5pt e/w yankee

from the top the nap comes here 6lb below his last winning mark which was only last summer & looks cracking value here.hes weighted to turn around recent form with both area fifty one & blue surf and he certainly won't mind any rain either.the oaks looks wide open to me although i certainly wouldn't put you off the favourite as she looked a beautifully balanced filly to me when winning the lingfield oaks trial & she could well turn this into a procession but i've gone for a bit of value in michael bells the lark.she'll be staying on here when plenty of others have cried enough & the thing that struck me is the trainer won the race in 2009 with the owners sariska & this ones got exactly the same profile..won a back end maiden with minimal fuss & then re-appeared looking in need of the run placing in pattern company..and time will tell but i think that form behind winsili will turn out to be more than decent to be honest.our old friend penitent will love any further rain & he's a G2 winner dropping back in class & whilst he carries a penalty he's also been placed here by middleham park & they don't make mistakes, simple as that.vainglory was kept off the radar on his last run & looks on an attractive mark now.many thanks for taking the time to read my blog & as always i wish you the best of luck with whatever you decide for your money tomorrow & happy punting!! :-)

regards
ian

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