Monday, 7 January 2013

7/1/2013

Evening sportsfans!! not alot to get excited about today i'm afraid,mutaajir getting placed @ 12/1 being the highlite of our advised patent.we've had a few decent returns from our small stakes bets just lately & i see no reason to change this ploy tomorrow as again it's pretty low grade stuff but at least it's competetive so hopefully there might be a bit of value out there..

1pt e/w SMALLJOHN 2.20 WOLVES (nap) 14/1 (bet365)

1pt e/w MAURICETHEATHLETE 1.55 CHEPSTOW (nb) 12/1

0.5pt e/w double

smalljohn looks cracking value to me as you can pretty much scrub his last two runs in C4 company as he's simply not good enough these days but now he's dropped back into a C5 he's only a pound above his last winning mark over C&D and can take full advantage.he loves to dictate things at the the head of affairs & with no other obvious pace in the race he can blast out & grab the rail to make all from a low draw.mauricetheathlete also gets a welcome drop in grade & is on a winning mark so hopefully can give us a nice double on the day.many thanks for taking the time to read my blog & good luck with whatever you decide for your money tomorrow & happy punting!! :-)

regards
ian

Sunday, 6 January 2013

6/1/2013

Evening sportsfans!! the nap was most disappointing today & i expected more to be honest but we still managed two big price places in our advised patent to give us over 20pts profit on the day and we must surely land a big one soon!!!! :-) i've picked out another patent for us tomorrow & hopefully the recent good run can continue...

GOWER RULES 4.00 KEMPTON 16/1 (paddy power) NAP
MATAAJIR 2.20 WOLVES 12/1 (boylesports) NB
QEETHAARA 1.25 KEMPTON 16/1 (paddy power) 

1pt e/w patent

mataajir could well get an easy lead in this apprentices race & could easily keep on rolling to the line in my opinion.with his jockeys claim he's now a full 8lb below his last winning mark & connections had a winner with loyalty on saturday which had a similiar profile to this lad.spark of genius is the only fly in the ointment as she made all to win her maiden last time & she looks like an improver although she didn't beat much but if she sets a frenetic gallop then our lad will be more than happy tracking in behind from his inside draw.gower rules arrives on his last winning a/w mark & i like this one alot.he's far happier on the polytrack than turf so his recent uninspiring turf runs don't really worry me & the trip was completely wrong for him last time out & it was only half a dozen runs back that he was placed behind oneiric off a 4lb higher mark at lingfield so it's not like you have to go trawling through his form cherry picking & whilst 2012 didn't bare much fruit they where all off marks in the late 50's & early 60's.last years winner qeethaara loves it round here & re-opposes last years runner up hierach on a pound worse terms & can confirm the form again although if your playing i would only advise it to small stakes again tomorrow as the racing yet again isn't of the greatest quality & why on earth are there two a/w meetings & only one NH bang in the middle of the jumps season? i really do think the racing planners need to have a long look in the mirror to be honest.many thanks for taking the time to read my blog & i hope you've found it both interesting & informative but good luck with whatever you decide for your money tomorrow & happy punting!!! :-)

regards
ian

Saturday, 5 January 2013

5/1/2013

Evening sportsfans!! well followers we're booming all over the place today!! the NB goes in @ 6/1 coupled with a 66/1 place in our yankee to show a slight profit & on our advised stakes bets we finished around 30 points in front!! :-) and those of you that follow me on twitter will have hopefully followed the 2 a/w selections i tweeted last night,desert strike going in @ 6/1 advised & then the icing on the cake loyalty goes in at a belting 20/1 advised! hopefully  the run can continue & i've found a nice little e/w patent on the a/w tomorrow i think...

DANCING WELCOME 4.20 WOLVES (nap) 20/1 (bet365)
MAZ 2.45 WOLVES (nb) 16/1 (bet365)
FOLLOW THE FLAG 2.15 WOLVES 16/1 (william hill)

1pt e/w patent

dancing welcome looks like a gift to me as she likes to race up with the pace so has a perfect draw in the two stall.the horse drawn on her inner needs to be held up & i think strong man will blast out of the six stall & make it a decent gallop & our girl should be able to drop right on his shoulder & get a nice tow round.should that one miss the break it will be just as nice as she doesn't mind making the running so robert winston is unlikely to get caught out tactically.now not only does she drop to her last winning a/w mark for the first time since that victory but if you have a look at her form in january its her time of year,january 2011,3 runs,1 win,2 places,january 2012,2 runs,2 wins (including off this mark over C&D),january 2013 ??? i'll let you know tomorrow evening!! ;-) maz & follow the flag both look on winable marks in my opinion & hopefully we can carry on the good work started today.the #teamchoochoo trading club is going from strength to strength & we're currently looking at shared ownership & syndication schemes so if anyone is connected to or knows of any decent connections please get in touch with any contact details you may have for them.i hope you've found my blog both interesting & informative but as always i wish you all the best with whatever you decide for your money tomorrow & happy punting!! :-)

i haven't covered the plumpton card as yet & if i find anything i like i will tweet a blog update. :-)

regards
ian

Friday, 4 January 2013

4/1/2013

Evening sportsfans!! well a bit disappointing day today really,the nap being heavily backed but no joy although we did manage a couple of winners on our trixie to show a small a profit :-) here are tomorrows thoughts...

5pts e/w ALFIE SPINNER 3.40 SANDOWN (nap) 7/1 (pp)

3pts e/w BIG FELLA THANKS 2.40 WINCANTON (NB) 6/1 (bv)

1pt e/w KYLENOE FAIRY 3.00 SANDOWN 40/1 (wh)

1pt e/w OSCAR PRAIRIE 2.05 WINCANTON 33/1 (lad)

0.5pt e/w yankee

alfie spinner is a very strong nap tomorrow,not only on the strength of his own form but also the fact that alot of his rivals are out of form & are starting to get a bit long in the tooth to be honest.he ran an absolute blinder in the reynoldstown less than a year ago finishing just under 3l behind bobs worth (now rated 171) & 4l in front of silviniaco conti (now rated 172).after failing to stay in the 4miler at the festival he reappeared in the united house gold cup at ascot running a blinder off this mark until fitness got the better of him in the closing stages behind roberto goldback.he only got as far as the third fence in the hennessy when locking horns again with bobs worth but that was very out of character as he's normally a sound jumper & i like the booking of noel fehily replacing the 3lb claimer that has rode him the last twice.i think this is the perfect trip for big fella thanks & he's never finished out of the frame when completing in C2 events.all his best form is in listed & graded class races and it was only 4 runs back that he was placed in the greatwood gold cup off a 4lb higher mark.oscar prairie,now before you go sending for the men in the white coats hear me out!!lol i know he's been pulled up on his last 3 outings but prior to that he tried to give 3lb to the nicky henderson trained bears affair (now rated 147) going down by 5l & that was after he'd taken a kempton C3 handicap off a mark of 125.with his jockeys claim he goes off 123 & also has winning form on heavy ground (one win & a place from 2 runs). that was when the run of P/U's started but the first was in a G3 over 3m at aintree (dont think he stays that far),he then went over fences but in my opinion he's not a fan of the larger obstacles as he can be a bit ponderous at his obstacles & he's had a break to freshen him up (50% s/r when coming back off a 60 day plus break) and i think he looks a cracking e/w bet.kylenoe fairy is another who has winning form on heavy going and is now 3lb lower than when finishing second in a listed h'cap & whilst he has to bounce back from a couple of lacklustre efforts that might not be that difficult as i simply don't think she stays much further than this trip & has been tried over further the last twice.shes obviously had problems & hopefully her run behind kentford grey lady will have blown away the cobwebs & at likely big odds could well be worth a few shillings e/w.many thanks for taking the time to read my blog & i hope you've found it both interesting & informative.good luck with whatever you decide for your money tomorrow & happy punting!! :-)

regards
ian

Thursday, 3 January 2013

3/1/2013

Evening sportsfans!! yet again the racing isn't of any great standard tomorrow if i'm honest & finding strong bets is proving quite difficult but we can only study whats in front of us so to speak so hopefully we've found a bit of value for tomorrow...

2pts e/w @ 10/1 KATMAI RIVER 12.30 WOLVES (nap)

1pt e/w @ 14/1 O'CROTAIGH 3.10 MUSSELBURGH (nb)

0.5pt e/w double (both prices available with ladbrokes)

it was january last year that katmai river hit form when dropping to a mark in the late 50's & i can see the same happening here.he's now dropped to a mark of 58 & he ran an excellent race at the end of last year off this mark over tomorrows C&D when going down by a neck to frognal but young rachael kneller takes 5lb off his back tomorrow & i think that can tip things in his favour in what is a very weak race in all fairness.o'ccrotaigh is on a winning mark & gets a 6lb pull with isla pearl fisher on there running last time out when he lead until the last but lost 2 places on the run in & with no other pace pushers in the race he could be left alone to get on with it & could easily slip the field on slightly better ground than last time.i dont normally do this but i do fancy 3 others tomorrow but there short prices so maybe a trixie would be the way to go...

DE RIGUER 1.30 WOLVES
ROYAL SEA 2.00 WOLVES
MISS BUNTER 2.30 WOLVES

1pt win trixie

de riguer won with any amount in hand last time & could quite well run up a sequence but my strongest fancy of the 3 is royal sea who whilst he was beaten in a seller last time it wasn't the worst horse in the world that beat him that day for the grade & i think he's been crying out for a trip like this since his handicap debut when he pulled like a train,this longer trip should help him settle far better & can make a winning debut for new connections,the main reason i'm not putting it up as a main blog selection is that if it was of any real talent then the david o'meara stable would have kept hold of him for a bit longer but time will tell.miss bunters another that looks like it can run up a sequence off this mark.many thanks for taking the time to read my blog & i hope you've found it both interesting & informative & i wish you the best of luck for whatever you decide for your money tomorrow & happy punting!! :-)

regards
ian

Wednesday, 2 January 2013

2/1/2013

Evening sportsfans!! well i think we got it about right on last nights blog,pretty poor low grade stuff & lots of it i'm afraid. :-( and why there where three a/w meetings in the middle of the jumps season really is beyond me,don't get me wrong the a/w is fine just to tick over & fill in when theres nothing else but when there C5 & C6 races are taking centre stage it just about tells you the quality of the racing on a whole to be honest.again we've dug deep & found what we think are decent selections at value prices...

3pt e/w @ 10/1 (ladbrokes) APRIL FOOL 3.20 LINGFIELD (nap)

2pt e/w @ 7/1 (paddy power) BILLY RED 12.50 LINGFIELD (nb)

1pt e/w @ 9/1 (bet365) BENE LAD 2.30 AYR

1pt e/w trixie

april fool looks like quite a cuning plot to me by connections as they've put a 5lb claimer up which puts him on his last winning a/w mark & they've not messed about either they've plumped for red hot willy twiston-davies.last time out he has to turn the form around with the runner up but he gets a massive 11lb pull (inc.claim) for just under 7l but he wasn't perservered with once his chance had gone & the distance probably flatters the runner up to be honest.he's going to have no problem taking up his customary front running role & thats exactly where you want be round here in my opinion & he should lead this lot a merry dance.billy reds another who has to turn round form from his previous run with a couple of rivals but he also gets a healthy weight pull & more importantly he was stuck 4 wide all the way round that day & probably went half a furlong more than anything else so the fact he weakened in the straight wasn't surprising & his shrewd stable has the top man joe fanning booked.also the 3lb that the handicapper has dropped him since his last run see's him now on his last winning mark over C&D.it was this time last year that bene lad hit form & he's now dropped to the same mark that seen him win a 0-120 over C&D and looks a value e/w bet.many thanks for taking the time to read my blog & i wish you the best of luck with whatever you decide for your money & happy punting!! :-)

regards
ian

Tuesday, 1 January 2013

1/1/2013

Evening sportsfans!! well tomorrows cards are absolute garbage if i'm honest,low grade stuff & plenty of it!! :-( i've managed to dig out a NAP & a couple of decent e/w plays i think so here goes...

3pts win @ 3/1 (paddy power) NOWHURLIN 2.20 AYR (nap)

1pt e/w @ 9/1 (bet365) SHALAMBAR 3.00 LINGFIELD (nb)

1pt e/w @ 16/1 (bet365) UNDERSTORY 3.30 LINGFIELD

the nap i'm quite strong on i must admit now he's returned to 2m.
since his last victory he was stepped up in distance & clearly didn't stay & a welcome return to the minimum trip should pay dividends. he goes on an easy surface & only weakened two out over 19f on his reappearance when the combination of stamina & fitness told.shalambar drops to a winning mark & the useful apprentice george downing also takes a further 5lb off his back,hopefully this can tip things in his favour.finally understory,he's now 4lb below his last winning mark over C&D and loves to bowl along in front & they may just give him enough rope to slip them & make all.most of the other races seem to be full of horses that take there turn winning the same low grade races & basically it's pot luck which one of the old dogs is in the right mood on the day to be honest! many thanks for taking the time to read my blog & as always good luck with whatever you decide for your money tomorrow & happy punting & a happy new year to you all!!!! :-)

regards
ian