Thursday, 11 July 2013

11/7/2013

Evening sportsfans!! well a cracking day was spoilt by the nap running dismaly after our first two selections hit the frame at s.p.'s of 33/1 & 20/1!! still a massive 25pt gain to advised bets & i'd take that everyday i can assure you! onto tomorrows selections..

1pt e/w MUTAZAMEN 3.15 newmarket 28/1 bet victor

right then forget anything hes done this season so far & i'll explain why. he doesn't stay further than 6f on a plane so you can scrub the last three runs, prior to that the soft ground undone him at salisbury which brings us to his early season 2yo form where he was very progressive after running second to ashdad (subsequent winner & G1 placed) on debut. he then took a mickey mouse race at kempton over 7f where his stamina wasn't tested & i really believe hes had excuses since & paul hanigan doing 8st 1lb has to be noted.

i haven't previewed the races as i did yesterday as theres short priced favourites that will pretty much take the spoils but my plays will be as follows..

2.10 
back fig roll e/w on the chance that the favourite might struggle with the penalty but its clutching at straws really but this C&D winner looks nailed on to hit the frame at the very least.

2.40
i expect sky lantern to take this but my play on the race will be to lay elusive kate. she was sent over to france on numerous occasions last term in search of soft ground as connections think she needs a bit of cut so tomorrows lightning fast surface has to be a concern & whilst we tipped her up at royal ascot where she just missed the frame in fourth that was nothing more than a listed race in reality & she struggle to cope with the hannon filly although last years winner giofra isn't out of it by any means.

advised bets:

sorella bella 1.40 20/1 bet victor

fig roll 2.10 15/2 bet victor

mutazamen 3.15 28/1 ladbrokes

small stakes e/w patent (0.25pts e/w 3.5pts in total)

we are taking a bit of a punt on a couple here & there is always the chance that mutazamen hasn't trained on so very small stakes are advised as i'm not as confident on tomorrows selections as i was on todays & i know there are many of you that put your hard earned down & follow blindly so i think it only fair i air some caution.

many thanks for following..

regards
ian

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