Evening sportsfans!! crash bang wallop today folks!! firstly the nap goes in @ a tasty 7/1 advised last night closely followed by reginald claude advised @ 4/1!! we then got the nb placed @ 16/1 to give us a decent return on the e/w lucky 15 & we now sit on a very tidy 85pt profit to advised bets this month! if we can have a decent glorious goodwood the triple figure target could well still be smashed! speaking of goodwood its the latest in the summer festivals that is now upon us & we have previewed three of the races on the opening day...
2pts e/w BLUE SURF 1.55 goodwood (nap) 8/1 stan james
a trappy little contest to kick the meeting off but course form is imperative here & horses either take to the place or they don't in my opinion. if they do they tend to run well time after time there & this fella drops right into that bracket. i really hope the penny has dropped with connections as he clearly doesn't stay 1m4f on a plane & his record in handicaps at upto 1m2f reads.. 1-3-1-3-1-4. his record over C&D has seen him return a win & a place and the only two horses to beat him at goodwood over a mile plus are grandeur (G1 winner in the states & now rated 115) & pattern race performer chill the kite (now rated 108). i think the grounds pretty much perfect for him & pat dobbs is superb around here in my opinion & i'm expecting a massive run tomorrow. the joker in the pack has to be the haggis horse fast or free but all his forms on ground with give so it may pay to keep an eye on the weather but even so i cant have him on the back of a 404 day absence if i'm honest. fennel bay could be interesting & mark johnston has an unbelievable strike rate at this meeting but i cant help but feel the handicaper has his measure
1pt e/w SIR GRAHAM WADE 3.40 goodwood (nb) 8/1 coral
slightly in danger of becoming a cliff horse of mine but tomorrow surely has to be the day for him. a two pound drop in the handicap finally sees him drop a pound below his last win & he trounced a decent field at this meeting last year when galloping all the way to the line.hes had some respectable if not outstanding efforts in pattern company most notably when just over a length behind the very smart stayer biographer. i believe hes a far better horse on decent ground & with the first time blinkers fitted this really is the last throw off the dice where me & him are concerned as everything looks set for a massive run. the horse that worries me is cavaleiro as he finished in front of our selection last time out on his seasonal debut but he comes here on the back of an absence but a saver would be advised at his current odds of around 25/1 & the only thing that swung it in sir grahams favour was the fact we know he acts on the course. harris tweed is another at a price that could well run a big race if theres any rain.
1pt e/w LIBRANNO 3.05 goodwood 28/1 bet365
this is another who loves it here & his course record reads 1-4-1-2. you can scrub three of his last five runs as hes another that doesn't stay a mile on a bus but more importantly hes been dropped to listed and G3 level in between G1's this season meaning hes had to carry penalties in those races but back in a G2 with no penalties to carry on his favourite track he look superb value to me. if we get significant overnight rain red jazz would be of interest as hes a solid group race performer does need conditions in his favour. producer beat aljamaaheer comfortably at leicester & i cant see any reason for him to turn the form around & i think hes also better over a mile but at the odds i think libranno represents massive value to me.
e/w trixie (2pts in total)
a top class meeting in store for the week ahead & we will have previews every evening along with the now infamous #stealingaliving league update on wednesday evening so i hope the C4 team are on the ball or there could be some midweek gate crashing of the top 10 i think!!! :-) this week seen my blog reach 100,000 views for the time that ive been doing it & i do find it amazing that so many people are actually interested in my ramblings & what i have to say!!lol we've had readers in north america, canada, norway, cuba & new zealand this past week giving the blog a real international feel i must admit. i did have a look at galway today but irish racing really isn't my forte & i just couldn't get a handle on the form at all & i suppose thats two hours of my life i wont get back but fair play to anyone that did find a few winners there as i may as well read chinese writing for all the sense the irish form made to me to be perfectly honest. many thanks for taking the time to read my blog & as always i wish you the best of luck with whatever you decide for your money tomorrow & happy punting guys!! :-)
regards
ian
2pts e/w BLUE SURF 1.55 goodwood (nap) 8/1 stan james
a trappy little contest to kick the meeting off but course form is imperative here & horses either take to the place or they don't in my opinion. if they do they tend to run well time after time there & this fella drops right into that bracket. i really hope the penny has dropped with connections as he clearly doesn't stay 1m4f on a plane & his record in handicaps at upto 1m2f reads.. 1-3-1-3-1-4. his record over C&D has seen him return a win & a place and the only two horses to beat him at goodwood over a mile plus are grandeur (G1 winner in the states & now rated 115) & pattern race performer chill the kite (now rated 108). i think the grounds pretty much perfect for him & pat dobbs is superb around here in my opinion & i'm expecting a massive run tomorrow. the joker in the pack has to be the haggis horse fast or free but all his forms on ground with give so it may pay to keep an eye on the weather but even so i cant have him on the back of a 404 day absence if i'm honest. fennel bay could be interesting & mark johnston has an unbelievable strike rate at this meeting but i cant help but feel the handicaper has his measure
1pt e/w SIR GRAHAM WADE 3.40 goodwood (nb) 8/1 coral
slightly in danger of becoming a cliff horse of mine but tomorrow surely has to be the day for him. a two pound drop in the handicap finally sees him drop a pound below his last win & he trounced a decent field at this meeting last year when galloping all the way to the line.hes had some respectable if not outstanding efforts in pattern company most notably when just over a length behind the very smart stayer biographer. i believe hes a far better horse on decent ground & with the first time blinkers fitted this really is the last throw off the dice where me & him are concerned as everything looks set for a massive run. the horse that worries me is cavaleiro as he finished in front of our selection last time out on his seasonal debut but he comes here on the back of an absence but a saver would be advised at his current odds of around 25/1 & the only thing that swung it in sir grahams favour was the fact we know he acts on the course. harris tweed is another at a price that could well run a big race if theres any rain.
1pt e/w LIBRANNO 3.05 goodwood 28/1 bet365
this is another who loves it here & his course record reads 1-4-1-2. you can scrub three of his last five runs as hes another that doesn't stay a mile on a bus but more importantly hes been dropped to listed and G3 level in between G1's this season meaning hes had to carry penalties in those races but back in a G2 with no penalties to carry on his favourite track he look superb value to me. if we get significant overnight rain red jazz would be of interest as hes a solid group race performer does need conditions in his favour. producer beat aljamaaheer comfortably at leicester & i cant see any reason for him to turn the form around & i think hes also better over a mile but at the odds i think libranno represents massive value to me.
e/w trixie (2pts in total)
a top class meeting in store for the week ahead & we will have previews every evening along with the now infamous #stealingaliving league update on wednesday evening so i hope the C4 team are on the ball or there could be some midweek gate crashing of the top 10 i think!!! :-) this week seen my blog reach 100,000 views for the time that ive been doing it & i do find it amazing that so many people are actually interested in my ramblings & what i have to say!!lol we've had readers in north america, canada, norway, cuba & new zealand this past week giving the blog a real international feel i must admit. i did have a look at galway today but irish racing really isn't my forte & i just couldn't get a handle on the form at all & i suppose thats two hours of my life i wont get back but fair play to anyone that did find a few winners there as i may as well read chinese writing for all the sense the irish form made to me to be perfectly honest. many thanks for taking the time to read my blog & as always i wish you the best of luck with whatever you decide for your money tomorrow & happy punting guys!! :-)
regards
ian
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