Wednesday, 1 August 2012

1/8/2012

today's lays are....

olympic glory                    2.35 goodwood        

well a new month brings a new dawn & new hope....well thats what im telling myself anyway!!! the first selection to hopefully bite the dust today will be this bay son of choisir.LTO at newmarket on very heavy going he beat birdman & others in todays line up but had very much the run of the race that day,hughes had his mind more or less made up for him that day & he certainly wont get things his own way today & the race looks to have more strength in depth,at newmarket there was quite a bit of dead wood after the first four home where as today not only is he re-opposed by the first four home but throw into the mix the gosden & godolphin beast's recent impressive victories give's this the look of a very solid race,when it comes to listed/group races the betting always seems to be highest rated....fav....second highest rated....second fav.....etc,etc,this seldom works out however & especially in 2-y-o races but all in all a very good lay to get the month rolling.


today's PLACE lays are....

scatter dice                        3.45 goodwood      

moving on to the big handicap of the day & this one jumped off the page at me,more to do with the fact that it's had three very hard races in her last three runs more than anything else,she carries a 6lb penalty for her last win & i feel this could be the nail in the coffin for this horses winning run,fair enough darren egan claims 5 but he did the same when it ran last time so the view that his claim outweigh's the penalty are erradicated.add this to the fact that this is a stronger race than she won LTO & in my view she needs to improve around 10lb to get competitive today,granted she has some improvement in her still but after three hard races,not today thanks!

please be aware that this blog is my view only,you may disagree & wish to back/lay the selection's,the choice is yours,any constructive comments will be gratefully recieved and please remember,do not gamble with money you cant afford to lose,i do this for a living & am still learning every day....think on...

regards

ian

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