Saturday 25 August 2012

26/8/2012

oh dear lord...what can i say about yesterday!?!? the blog really is pulling up trees at the minute & followers have been well & truly rewarded this week showing a profit of +£40 to a £1 level stake culminating in frankie's ebor romp @ 14/1 advised...i said your only as good as your last selection yesterday...well my last selection was the frigging ebor winner so im entitled to wallow!!!lol anyway im boring myself now so onto today..

today's LAYS are...

commend                             2.45 goodwood

really dont understand why this is forecast sp favourite against some half decent animals today,he still only has a 9f carlisle maiden victory to his name & got turned over off a mark of 84 in a 0-85 h'cap LTO which isnt great considering he goes in a 0-95 off a mark off 87,surely he has to struggle today.

today's BACKS are...

shamrocked                        2.10 goodwood
trader jack                          2.45 goodwood
rondeau                              5.00 goodwood

from the top as always & shamrocked looks to have been sent by the gods today,he's back on his last winning mark of 70 with charles bishop claiming an additional 5lbs off his back,that win at newbury is the key tho,he was able to get his toe in that day & thats what he needs,so he'll definatly have conditions underfoot to suit today,but if you have a look at his runs since he was behind van ellis in a C2 which was to be expected so we'll put a line thro that run,then they chucked him into a 0-80 C4,again outclassed but not disgraced,then onto sandown in a 0-75 but the ground was completly against him,he then went to lingfield,again in a 0-75 & again the ground was against him then strangly he was tried on the a/w in a 0-75,which he obviously didnt like....now here's the key,after his recent weight drop,today is the first time since he won that hes back in a 0-70,back on some ground with cut & back in a C5,if he gets in front today which is very likely as there seems only king vahe likely to challenge for the lead,they really wont see which way this fella goes.the next selection of the day,trader jack,is SUPER NAP material,hes another who you can scrub his last three runs,but prior to that was beaten only 2L off level weights by grandeur (now rated 107) he only has to run within 10lb of that run to take this contest with the minimum of fuss,after his run behind grandeur he went to royal ascot but was never going to get competitive over an inadequate 8f,he then got to within 3L of stature of a mark of 90 at newmarket after pulling way to hard & then had the most awful run LTO being battered all over the place but still only beaten around 2L,when he was beaten at newmarket he also had the likes of  haajes (rated 96) fennel bay & prussian in behind and theres nothing of that calibre here & down to a mark of 89 today he's only a pound higher than his run behind grandeur.the final selection rondeau,is a bit of a conundrum but hes back on his last winning mark of 77 today & could be worth an e/w bet to small stakes as we do have to forgive him quite a bit on his latest runs but many horses have a "level" that they win at & this could quite fesibly be his,he is a bit of an epsom specialist & i cant find conclusive proof he'll go on the ground but at a big price has to be worth an interest.my main bet today is the singles & e/w double on the first two but i'll be putting rondeau with them in an e/w patent.
i have to say since yesterday ive had a few disconserting tweets saying im "after timing" with my selections
and claiming false results... i know 100% this blog goes online every morning at 9.00 am so @atta4luv go & boom someone else with your short priced losers! this blog IS FREE and always will be whilst i write it & is somewhere i can go & put my thoughts down for the day's racing for the world to see & either agree or disagree with,but as always,dont gamble with money you cant afford to lose,i do this for a living & am still learning every day about the game,if abuse continues i'll just pull the plug,i try & make my blog interesting & contain something for everyone but obviously theres no pleasing some people, but as always good luck with what you decide today & happy punting!

regards
ian

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