Tuesday 28 August 2012

28/8/2012

morning sportsfans! straight into it today with as always a quick word on yesterday,the nap for a split second looked like streaking home but alas was not to be as the favourite hampered him very badly in the final furlong leaving him completly unbalanced & unable to recover in the final half furlong,im not one to rue bad luck as i believe your luck evens itself out over the course of a season & the fact remains weve gone two days without a winner now.the days lay again duly obliged & that section of the blogs ticking over nicely showing a nice level stakes profit.so onto today....

today's LAY selections are....

if i where a boy                    5.00 epsom

right then this one scored LTO in an apprentice h'cap which means he swerves a weight rise but even so i cant have this today.theres no hiding place around here & can be unforgiving to an inexperienced rider.without doubt this is alot better race than that he won & crucially i think he needs to be bouncing of the ground,which i dont think will happen today.


today's BACK selections are....

sacrosanctus                      2.50 epsom (NAP)
miss cap estel                    5.00 epsom
seagoing                            5.15 ripon

we'll start with todays NAP & sacrosanctus is a real gem today.hes had two runs here,2nd in a class 2 off a mark of 83 & then winning off a mark of 84 in a class 3,both of which were better races than this one today.
he's had four runs since that victory & all were in a higher grade than todays which has enabled his h'cap mark to slip back to a competitive one (races back off 84 today) ian mongan takes the ride & he knows the horse well having won on him when he was with dandy nicholls.epsom really is a specialist track & he knows it like the back of his hand,to be honest hes unlucky not to be unbeaten round here as when he was beaten  luis rey attacked him very wide so he wasnt able to see the challenge with his blinkers on as he seems to pull out more when hes challenged.he wont want the ground to soft so keep an eye on that but everything else seems to be in place for a massive run.
the next,miss cap estel will relish todays trip of ten furlongs,she'll get this far & more in future as shes a half sister to 3 mile winning hurdler royal riviera!! and being by hernando her pedigrees all stamina so everything shes done upto now has to be treated as a bonus.the same applies to the final selection seagoing,she's by a nashwan mare so this step up to 2 miles is just what the doctor ordered & off a mark of 60 today could be absolutly thrown in,i can see this one running up a sequence & if it was trained by sir mark prescott it would be about 11/10 today!! they should all be decent prices so im going for an e/w trixie today.

many thanks for taking the time to read my blog & sharing my thoughts for the day,i try to make my blog interesting & a decent read so all comments & constructive criticism are gratefully recieved...

regards
ian

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