Monday 20 August 2012

21/8/2012

well what an anti-climax yesterday turned out to be,the four selections i'd spent six hours pouring over the form for may as well nave been ripped up & chucked out the window after looking at the going in the first race,i genuinly thought it would be good/quickish ground,very bad call,there was an awful lot of cut there yesterday so sometimes its best to turn of the laptop & walk away.but chin's up & onward we move,cant help but be semi-excited as im trying to get to see frankel tomorrow at york but we'll save that conversation til later!! onto today's racing & my thoughts,firstly i have to admit i have only covered one card today as i was late starting to study last night but here are my thoughts..

today's lays are...

  1. welsh nayber                              3.15 brighton
  2. ukranian                                     3.45 brighton 
  3. waspy                                        4.45 brighton

ok then from the top,welsh nayber,0/7 in C5 races & yet to reach a place.upto a creer high mark of 66 today,he has run off 65 before...being beaten 10L plus at kempton,cant have this today.ukranian is alot more interesting,he bolted up at ayr LTO but that was over an extra two furlongs and i genuinly think thats what bought out the required improvement to win but he's back on a higher mark today off 74,a mark which he's struggled off on turf already & while last time was a 0-70 h'cap i think he's up against a bunch with alot more potential today.finally our friend waspy,no dickie hughes today which is a negative going off a career high mark isn't going to be easy at all & im convinced she wants some cut to be at her best,which she wont get today & to be honest i dont think even her best will be good enough today.

here's a first for the blog,here are the horses that will be carrying the #mallardmillions today,they are...

today's BACK selection's are...


  1. aciano                                                     2.45 brighton
  2. kelpie blitz                                               3.15 brighton
  3. dont take me alive                                   3.45 brighton
  4. watt broderick                                        4.15 brighton
  5. stonescrabtomorrow                               4.45 brighton
  6. scommettitrice                                        5.15 brighton

aciano should get us off to a decent start today,ive been waiting for this one to go over a shorter trip for a while & an added bonus today it gets a drop in grade as well as being on a career low mark.kelpie blitz has slipped a couple of pounds since finishing second here & should go well at a decent price,i like horses that have performed at brighton previously as it's a very unforgiving track for the inexperienced.dont take me alive take's a marked drop in class from his previous run & could well be upto upsetting the principals today.the same profile applies to watt broderick,he drops back into his winning grade & should take this with the minimum amount of fuss today.the final two selection's really are brighton "specialists" stonescrabtomorrow bounced back to something like his best when second here behind efistorm,i think this is his grade now & can give us a nice return,final selection scommettitrice,he ran a decent race off this new mark LTO & now dropped back slightly in grade,that was in a 0-75,he can regain the winning thread.

comments & constructive criticism are gratefully recieved.

regards

ian.

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