today's lays are....
gatewood 2.00 goodwood unpl @ 2.9
the set up of this race amazes me & the suggested betting even more,i agree gatewood has
improved & is still improving,but to win this with the form it has shown upto now will take a herculian task.
the facts are coming into this on the back of two handicap victory's really should not be good enough,its only ten weeks ago he was contesting h'caps,good ones i agree...but h'caps never the less.where going to take a line of form with black spirit,a good yardstick of clive cox's.on the 1st of june gatewood beat him a length recieving 9lbs....21 days later gatewood beat him a neck recieving 2lbs,which by my calculations gives gatewood about a 3lb improvement between runs,he's now rated 104...which i think is on the high side but he meats at least four rivals today capable of solid G2/G3 form,meaning he needs to find around 10lb to get competitive today...which is very unlikely over 2 furlongs further than he's raced already.many horses can be deceptive,running on at the end of races giving the impression that when stepped up in trip they will relish it but then tend to hit a wall once racing over further which i think this son of galileo falls into.i'm putting this up as a win lay but i'll be helping myself to some of the place market as well.
today's PLACE lays are....
fulbright 3.10 goodwood WON @ 2.9*
this colt has the a very similiar make up to the stable's scatter dice,a succesful lay for us earlier in the week,on the back of 3 very hard runs in the last 24 days & with a 6lb penalty this colt really is going to struggle with todays race conditions,to start with he's going 2 furlongs further than his last two victories & against his elders,who he has mainly struggled against this year.i feel this horse has to be up with the pace & in today's field getting an easy lead is not going to happen,horses (with the exception maybe of frankel!) are animals,not machines & this mark johnston trained colt may need to put his feet up for a few weeks to get back to his best,which would still see him struggle against today's rivals.
gatewood 2.00 goodwood unpl @ 2.9
the set up of this race amazes me & the suggested betting even more,i agree gatewood has
improved & is still improving,but to win this with the form it has shown upto now will take a herculian task.
the facts are coming into this on the back of two handicap victory's really should not be good enough,its only ten weeks ago he was contesting h'caps,good ones i agree...but h'caps never the less.where going to take a line of form with black spirit,a good yardstick of clive cox's.on the 1st of june gatewood beat him a length recieving 9lbs....21 days later gatewood beat him a neck recieving 2lbs,which by my calculations gives gatewood about a 3lb improvement between runs,he's now rated 104...which i think is on the high side but he meats at least four rivals today capable of solid G2/G3 form,meaning he needs to find around 10lb to get competitive today...which is very unlikely over 2 furlongs further than he's raced already.many horses can be deceptive,running on at the end of races giving the impression that when stepped up in trip they will relish it but then tend to hit a wall once racing over further which i think this son of galileo falls into.i'm putting this up as a win lay but i'll be helping myself to some of the place market as well.
today's PLACE lays are....
fulbright 3.10 goodwood WON @ 2.9*
this colt has the a very similiar make up to the stable's scatter dice,a succesful lay for us earlier in the week,on the back of 3 very hard runs in the last 24 days & with a 6lb penalty this colt really is going to struggle with todays race conditions,to start with he's going 2 furlongs further than his last two victories & against his elders,who he has mainly struggled against this year.i feel this horse has to be up with the pace & in today's field getting an easy lead is not going to happen,horses (with the exception maybe of frankel!) are animals,not machines & this mark johnston trained colt may need to put his feet up for a few weeks to get back to his best,which would still see him struggle against today's rivals.
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