10/9/2014

Evening sportsfans!! tomorrow sees the start of the leger festival so hopefully i can dig out a few winners for us. firstly i have to say keep stakes to a minimum, looks a decent quality card but with the two main races being confined to fillies & mares they really are the quickest way to the poor house & you'll have to walk a long way to find a wealthy man that ever trusted a woman with his cash!!


2.10 doncaster (sceptre stakes G3 7f)

braggings the obvious starting point having hacked up in a handicap last time but this is a different ball game altogether although there are far more with questions against there names than answers here to be really honest. lucky kristale is a dual G2 winner but there has to be a serious question as to.. 1) wether shes trained on & 2) does she stay further than 6f without the aid of a jet plane? i think the answer to both is no so i wouldnt bother with that one & theres also frankels little sister whos pretty much in the same boat regards the trip although she does get a 3lb pull woth j wonder for just over a length on there running at newbury so discounted, but not as easily. plenty of others that would be worthy of a mention but my lucky pin has fallen on KIYOSHI of charlie hills. looked a superstar last year when winning the albany but went via ascot high street in the final furlong that day so clearly can have her own ideas about the game but the key could well be the application of cheekpieces for the first time tomorrow & she really has been highly tried with half of her eight lifetime start being in G1 company & even when dropped into listed company she bumped into no other than euro charlene who went on to win the G1 beverley D stakes in america, hows your luck!! she has valid excuses this term with the ground being against her in the falmouth & last time out in france & i'm not convinced she truly stays a mile so 7f on a decent surface should suit her down to the ground & looks a solid e/w play at around 10/1 with most firms.

2.40 doncaster (park hill stakes G2 1m 6f)

you'll have to go along way to find a a cheaper G2 than this i know that much & someones going to grab some cheap black type thats for sure. most have it to prove at the trip but seal of approval heads the market & is a G1 winner but dear lord that fillies & mares race on champions day that day was as bad as a G1 gets & connections might rue not whisking her straight off to the paddocks & cashing in. venus de milo could be the one to improve most from the step up in trip but the run last time in the yorkshire oaks was far to bad to be true so has it all to prove here. groovejet wouldn't be the worst e/w bet in the world at a daft price as she will be plodding on when the others are doing there nails & looking in the mirror when they've had enough in the final couple of furlongs but i'm going to take a chance on MOMENT IN TIME. she was very progressive last year winning a G3 & culminating in a third placing in the G1 E.P. taylor stakes at woodbine before heading off to meydan in the early part of the year but it didnt really work out for her & came back with a bit of a hangover from there & wasn't the same horse on her return which isn't unusual for some horses as they just dont take to the change in climate & it takes them time to recover. she has looked like shes been coming back to herself on her last couple of runs though & was certainly not disgraced when fourth last time out in the american st leger. its a speculative punt but at around 14/1 one which i think worth it.

kiyoshi e/w (10/1 widely available)

moment in time e/w (14's available in places but plenty of 12/1)

best of luck if you play.

regards
ian

3/9/2014

Evening sportsfans!! well what a return to blogging we made on sunday evening with the sole selection generalyse obliging at a tasty 7/1. had a bit of time spare this evening with the england game being about as interesting as listening to the ex-wife droan on about..well i dont really know as i switch off after a couple of seconds..seems to be my default setting!lol lets see if we can find a couple of winners tomorrow...

7.10 wolves

a tricky race at first glance but bogsnog could be the value here, this is his grade & his C&D (two from two in 7f C5 races here) & comes here a well handicapped horse. the key to him is wether he gets an easy lead & he could well do that here. the other obvious pace in the race is wotalad but hes drawn on the outside of bogsnog so with a half decent break all the bog needs to do is hold his position early to force the other wide enough to force him to drop in unless the jockey on him completely loses his head & tries to take us on round the outside of the first bend but i really cant see it as it would be tactical suicide. at around 16/1 currently he looks excellent value to add to his impressive course record. on this new tapeta surface you ideally want horses that have form on southwells fibresand & whilst he hasn't raced there his sire moss vale has a decent record there so he should be ok.

8.40 wolves

another trappy contest with some old favourites but red cape looks to have a decent shout to me. he falls to his last winning mark over C&D when beating tyfos who has won & run with great credit since so the form has a very solid look about it. whilst he has run with credit recently on turf hes far better on an artificial surface & even his last run on the a/w since his win behind come on dave has been franked since with that one rattling up a couple of victories recently & this really isn't a strong race by any means.

e/w bogsnog 16/1 paddy power

e/w red cape 10/1 paddy power

e/w double

remember you can find my selections daily by following @teamformratings & getting involved in there e-mail service.

many thanks for taking the time to read my blog & as always good luck with whatever you decide for your money tomorrow.

regards
ian