28/1/2014

Evening sportsfans!! blank day at the beach today unfortunately & tomorrow isn't exactly scintilating but we can only work with whats in front of us so we'll see what we can do..

1pt e/w TASRIH 6.50 kempton (nap) 7/1 bet365

was caught out last time out when stepped up in grade at lingfield but the return to kempton & drop back into C4 can work the trick & after only six racecourse appearances there should be plenty more to come from alan mccabes gelding on only a 2lb higher mark.

1pt e/w RYEDALE LASS 5.50 kempton (nb) 8/1 bet365

showed his best form for a while last time out over C&D and a handy 2lb drop from the handicapper can see him back in the winners enclosure here.

0.5pt e/w double

many thanks for following..

regards
ian

27/1/2014

Evening sportsfans!! well i wont be sorry to see the back of today. an absolutely awful days racing which was actually painful to even take a watching brief to be honest. hopefully the beach can throw up a couple of winners tomorrow..

2pt win MEDITERRANEAN SEA 1.20 southwell (nap) 4/1 bet365

serana brotherton is different gravy in these events & this mile & 6f trip is absolutely perfect for john jenkins mare having a C&D record of.. 2-2-1-2-3-3-3-3 from 8 starts. she drops onto her last winning turf mark so should be more than capable of taking this back on her favoured surface.

1pt e/w AMTIRED 3.50 southwell (nb) 6/1 bet365

we put him up last time out when he stayed on to land us some place money behind ivy port & time will probably tell that he bumped into a well handicapped horse there but the pair where 8 lengths clear of the rest so the form looks strong to me.

0.5pt e/w double

i'm also going to have a pop at going through the card tomorrow with a #35T bet & an e/w accumilator on all seven..

the two selections above with..

laughing rock 1.50

stand gaurd 2.20

sofias number one 2.50

thatchmaster 3.20

ferdy 4.20


many thanks for following..

regards
ian

26/1/2014

Evening sportsfans!! i think its safe to say that tomorrows racing is about as awful as it gets to be honest. ayr in doubt owing to the weather & wolverhampton... well words fail me on how poor it is but we'll see if we can nick a winner but i wouldn't be going mad stake wise.. theres no need to be going daft on poor racing, the battle with the bookie is a long game..

0.5pt e/w AMIS REUNIS 2.40 wolves (nap) 25/1 bet365

has ran well with credit off higher marks here at dunstall park & had methaaly behind him over C&D in november of last year & is 3lb better off with that rival so at the current prices this lad has to be the value call.

0.5pt e/w PRAVDA STREET 5.40 wolves (nb) 25/1 bet365

had his first run for the kellett yard last time out after a couple of wins in claiming company but is not badly treated here even off a mark of 70. his record here at dunstall park reads.. 2-1-2-1-2-1 and if we narrow that down to C&D it reads.. 2-1-2-2.. now do i have your attention!! clearly loves it here & if he puts his best foot forward the 25/1 could look massive around 5.45 tomorrow.

0.25pt e/w double

many thanks for following

regards
ian

24/1/2014

Evening sportsfans!! not alot to get excited about today unfortunately but tomorrows another day as they say & we'll soldier on in search of winners!!

1pt e/w CATALINAS DIAMOND 12.50 lingfield (nap) 8/1 b.v.

in times of trouble it always pays to turn to an old friend & this mares been good to us in the past. sentiment isn't the only reason though as shes now fallen 7lb below her last winning mark & looks the best treated under todays terms.

1pt e/w UNDERSTORY 4.20 lingfield (nb) 12/1 bet365

another old friend whos turn it could just well be tomorrow. comes here on his last winning mark & has ran creditably since and young robert tarts 3lb claim can swing things in his favour here.

1pt e/w ONE WAY OR ANOTHER 1.25 lingfield (iwac) 10/1 365

a real veteran at the age of 11 but he's on a mark he can be competitive off & could well run a big race here under lingfield king adam kirby.

e/w trixie (2pts in total) 

many thanks for following..

regards
ian

23/1/2014

Evening sportsfans!! well after rowe park got beat a nose it all went down hill from there & we collapsed faster than englands middle order batsmen in all fairness. hopefully we can get back on track tomorrow..

1pt e/w FALASTEEN 2.30 lingfield (nap) 15/2 bet victor

hasn't been in the winners enclosure for a while but hes got some very smart placed form off alot higher marks than this & now he drops into a 0-60 his chance must be there for the taking.

1pt e/w GEORGE GURU 3.05 lingfield (nb) 15/2 bet victor

this is a very tight race with various form lines that give a chance to a few of them but he gets weight off all the leading contenders & could just get the run of the race here.

1pt e/w ALNOOMAS 2.00 lingfield (iwac) 8/1 bet victor

is handily weighted on his winning form & he can get his head back in front again here where his opponents have far more questions to answer than he does.

e/w trixie (2pts in total)

many thanks for following..

regards
ian

22/1/2014

Evening sportsfans!! another jolly day with the nap winning advised at 5/1 last night & we're ticking along nicely so far this month, hopefully tomorrow can follow suit..

5pt win AQUA ARDENS 2.40 southwell (nap) 2/1 bet victor

ran the revitalised noble citizen to a neck last time out & in light of that one following up over C&D the form looks absolutely rock solid. his sire nayef has a phenominal record on the fibresand so far & this is a weaker race than he contested last week & i simply cannot see him beat, simple as that.

1pt e/w ROWE PARK 2.10 southwell (nb) 7/1 skybet

has two wins from three starts here at southwell & the switch back to the surface could well be enough for him to get his head back in front here. hes now ridiculously well handicapped but im not sure he stays 6f so im going to forgive his last couple of runs as its a strongly run 5f that he needs & he might just get that here with bapak bangsawan in the field.

1pt e/w PENNY STOCK 4.10 southwell (iwac) 11/2 bet365

did a bit to much on the front end last time out & if she settles she should surely turn out to be better than a 52 rated animal. this is a weak race with & grandad mac carrying a double penalty the weight might just stop him & he has to give penny 18lb here.

many thanks for following..

regards
ian

21/1/2014

1pt e/w WILFRED PICKLES 3.05 lingfield (nap) 5/1 coral

1pt e/w KICKINGTHELILY 3.35 lingfield (nb) 12/1 bet victor

1pt e/w HIGHLY LIKELY 1.30 lingfield (iwac) 11/2 bet365


full write up will appear here later..

20/1/2014

Evening sportsfans!! the nap landed today at 10/1 so it was happy days all round but something to go with it would of been nice but there you go. another day out at the beach tomorrow so lets see if we can find some winners..

1pt e/w LEXINGTON BAY 2.40 southwell (nap) 5/1 paddy power

is two from three on the fibresand & has the cheek pieces re-applied tomorrow which tells me they mean business as he won when tried in them for the first time. has now fallen a handy 2lb below his last winning mark & he'll do for us. unfortunately as i was writing this the 7/1 with bet365 disappeared so i'm stickong to the golden rule of never changing your mind.

1pt e/w AMTIRED 2.05 southwell (nb) 6/1 bet365

a repeat of his second on his penultimate start behind emperatriz wins this, simple as that. that was a better race than this & he absolutely loves the surface.

1pt e/w SOLARMAITE 4.15 southwell (iwac) 14/1 bet365

C&D winner who has slipped a handy 3lb below his last winning mark but it was his run prior to that victory that catches the eye. he tried to give burren view lady weight & in light of that one winning since off a mark as high as 79 the form looks good & hes another that loves the surface.

1pt e/w PROHIBIT 3.15 southwell 16/1 bet365

has been in no mans land regarding his handicap mark for a while now but he might just be down to a mark he can get competitive off here. he only has a length to find with silken express on there running at kempton in november & gets a 6lb pull in the weights on that run so he could well be the value call here with a good pace to run at & being by oasis dream the surface shouldn't be a problem at all for him.

e/w yankee (2pts in total)

current standing to advised bets this month.. +25pts

many thanks for following..

regards
ian

19/1/2014

Evening sportsfans!! well considering we never got a winner we did quite well today!! all 3 selections placing to land the e/w trixie & at odds of 16/1, 12/1 & 8/1 advised the place money on the singles wasn't bad either!! it also gets us nicely into profit for the month so far to advised bets which is always good. hopefully tomorrow can see the decent form continue but i have to say it looks a very tricky day so its not a day to be going mad & playing up any profit from today i'd be keeping stakes to a minimum to be honest.

1pt e/w I'LL BE GOOD 2.30 wolves (nap) 10/1 paddy power

can be forgiven his last run on the fibresand & the return to polytrack can see him back on track. he has just over 3 lengths to find with give us a belle on there running back in november be he gets a massive 18lb pull in the weights with that rival here & it must be enough for him to turn the tables surely. he then backed that run up finishing second to shawkantango over C&D at the beginning of december & that horse has since followed up with two victories giving the form a very solid look to it.

0.5pt e/w CONFIDENT'L CREEK 4.10 southwell (nb) 10/1 bet365

has quite a progressive profile & has certainly not been disgraced on his last two outings over C&D. he now falls to a winning mark but a bit of added interest is that he won that day in first time cheek pieces & tomorrow connections switch headgear & try him in blinkers for the first time & you'd be surprised how many improve that little bit extra for a change to something there not used to.

0.5pt e/w TUKITINYASOK 4.30 wolves (iwac) 8/1 skybet

the fitting of the hood seems to have brought about some improvement in this lad & this is alot weaker race than hes competed in the last twice here.

e/w trixie (1pt in total)


i was going to do a #stealingaliving top 10 but to be honest just sling the whole of the man utd team in there & you won't be far off the mark!! pop clueless david moyes at the top of the tree followed by any nine of those that started today & thats about it really!lol

many thanks for following..

regards
ian

18/1/2014

Evening sportsfans!! nothing to shout about today unfortunately but we did manage a winner & a place in the e/w lucky 15 but that was about as good as it got. hopefully tomorrow can see a few winners..

1pt e/w RAY OF JOY 3.30 kempton (nap) 16/1 bet365

quite simply a repeat of her penultimate start over C&D behind bapak bangsawan would be more than good enough to take this. shes a multiple C&D winner who is now ridiculously well handicapped & it will be sooner rather than later that she takes advantage.

1pt e/w INCENDO 4.30 kempton (nb) 8/1 bet365

hes well treated on recent form & is more than capable of taking this but i have a slightly different angle.. when tried in a first time tongue strap he ran a then career best at the time..further down the path he was then tried in a first time visor.. and ran yet another career best effort.. a few runs later he then had the hood applied for the first time.. and yet another career best!! now the cheek pieces are applied tomorrow for the first time & hes slipped 7lb below his last winning mark.. if the trend repeats itself & he throw in a career best he will literally pick these up & carry them.. well thats my theory anyway!!! 

1pt e/w AFKAR 2.00 kempton (iwac) 12/1 bet365

he does have a chequered profile at first sight but if we filter his form down to tomorrows grade over 7f on the all weather the figures read... 3-2-2 so with optimimum conditions & the fact that all his better runs have been when fresh he looks the value call here.

e/w trixie (1pt in total)

many thanks for following..

regards
ian

17/1/2014

Evening sportsfans!! time is against me this evening but here are tomorrows selections..

1pt e/w BAPAK MUDA 2.35 lingfield (nap) 16/1 paddy power

taken a bit of a flyer here but the drop back to 6f could just work the oracle. the booking of super jim crowley also catches my eye replacing claimers that have ridden him in his last three runs &hes the least exposed in this field.

1pt e/w EMERALD WITNESS 3.45 lingfield (nb) 12/1 bet365

hes a bit long in the tooth now but still performs with credit & he doesn't look badly treated at all here. his length second behind alfred hutchinson has been franked with that rival following up off a mark of 92 in a handicap next time out. hes now slipped a handy 3lb below his last winning mark & could well be the value here.

0.5pt e/w double.

thought i'd have a little tickle on the C4 races for followers so i've dug out an e/w lucky 15 but i wouldn't go mad with stakes..

highland retreat 1.50 ascot 11/2 william hill

thomas crapper 2.25 ascot 10/1 betfred

grandioso 3.00 ascot 8/1 betfred

days hotel 3.35 ascot 12/1 stan james

e/w lucky 15 (2pts in total)


many thanks for following..

regards
ian

15/1/2014

Evening sportsfans!! hope the warning to keep stakes to a minimum was heeded today after drawing a blank on what was an awful days racing to be fair. tomorrows a/w action isn't alot better but at least i can say i quite fancy these two.

1pt e/w BLUE NOODLES 7.30 wolves (nap) 10/1 bet365

looked to be on a workable mark on his penultimate run & then lost all chance at the start last time out when stumbling leaving the gate. he does have the fav to beat but hes as exposed as this fella in all fairness & this lad looks to be the value call to me.

1pt e/w RAKAAN 7.00 wolves (nb) 8/1 ladbrokes

an old favourite of ours & hes done us proud to be fair to him. he remains on a winning mark & whilst he is probably in decline he could well still be good enough to land this with adam kirby on board.

0.5pt e/w double

many thanks for following..

regards
ian

14/1/2014

Evening sportsfans!! a nice return today owing to the NB landing at a tasty 14/1 advised last night but we couldn't find anything to go with it unfortunately which was a shame. onto tomorrow & it really isn't exciting in the slightest & a minimal stakes day is recommended to be honest but we'll see if we can find a winner or two. on days like this i like to go back to basics so to speak & see if i can find a few C&D winners that have fallen to workable marks again & hopefully snaffle a bit of value as well..

0.5pt e/w HILL OF DREAMS 5.25 kempton (nap) 8/1 bet365

still a pound above his last winning mark but the return to the saddle of super jim crowley catches my eye & he does love the mile here at kempton.

0.5pt e/w WELSH INLET 6.55 kempton (nb) 12/1 paddy power

dual C&D winner now 5lb below his last winning mark & showed enough on his penultimate start to be of interest here.

0.5pt e/w ERMYNTRUDE 4.25 kempton (iwac) 12/1 bet365

blew the cobwebs away last time out & this multiple C&D scorer should be spot on for this. has now slipped 4lb below her last winning mark & this will be the weakest race shes contested during her career.

e/w trixie (1pt in total)

many thanks for following..

regards
ian

13/1/2014

Evening sportsfans!! not alot i can say about today to be honest.. the nap being left 20 lengths at the start which is all well & good in a 3m chase but over a mile at lingfield.. game over! you can read as much form as you like but sometimes these things happen im afraid. the NB managed to get us a little back placing but all in all very disappointing.. so onto tomorrow..

1pt e/w MOORHOUSE LAD 3.25 (nap) 10/1 william hill

showed he was coming into a bit of form on his penultimate start over C&D when third behind tom sawyer & is weighted to turn the tables on monsieur jamie here. hes got a win & two places now from 3 starts on the fibresand so clearly enjoys the surface and a little respite from the handicapper since his last start is also a welcome bonus.

1pt e/w NOBLE CITIZEN 1.45 southwell (nb) 14/1 william hill

you may think me a tad crazy putting this one up as he hasn't tasted success for over two & a half years & also has question marks about the trip but i'm happy to give him one chance as he tries the fibresand for the first time here & that really could make all the difference. his sire proud citizen has a 28.1% win s/r & a 46.9% place s/r on the surface & thats massive stat wise. hes now on a career low a/w mark & young george buckell is able to claim 5lbs in this apprentice event so if ever he was going to run a big race again it surely has to be tomorrow.

1pt e/w WEST END LAD 3.55 (iwac) 10/1 bet365

interestingly drops into a C6 event for the first time since his last win & to be fair hes as slow as a boat so this extra trip could well be in his favour. he has no concerns regarding the surface & this is an absolute wank bag of a race that won't take alot of winning at all. hes dropped a handy 5lb below his last winning mark & similiar comments apply here to the one above, if he cant get involved in this then its lights out im afraid.

e/w trixie (2pts in total)

many thanks for following..

regards
ian

12/1/2014

Evening sportsfans!! its taken me a while but this is my first post of the new year so i hope you all had a happy xmas & merry new year! if i'm honest i've been a bit lazy blog wise but i plan to go back to doing the blog daily now. tomorrow also sees the start of a new venture that i am involved with & you can read a bit more about it below tomorrows selections.

1pt e/w MIDNIGHT FEAST 12.15 lingfield (nap) 14/1 bet victor

lee carters has his string is decent fettle recently & the drop back into C6 company can work the oracle here. hes now slipped a pound below his last winning mark & mark coumbe is good value for his 3lb claim which is also a big plus & all seems set for a return to the winners enclosure.

1pt e/w CLUB HOUSE 12.45 (nb) 9/1 bet365

another jockey whos well worth his claim is this lad george buckell & the 7lb is massive here. he was only stopped in his tracks last time by the progressive run it twice & he looks the best treated in what isn't a strong race to be honest.

1pt e/w SPEEDYFIX 3.10 (iwac) 10/1 bet365

hasn't done alot for the past 6 months but he was to high in the handicap, simple as that. alot of these horses have a level that they perform at & thats as good as they are & this lad falls into that category. now hes slipped a pound below his last winning mark (has decent placed C&D form to his name off higher marks) he should be more than able to get competitive here.

e/w trixie (2pts in total)

tomorrow sees the start of a new venture between myself & @anon_gambler. as many of you know i have my own private handicap & this will be combined with speed figures provided by jay to produce a/w ratings on a daily basis. it is aimed at people that take there punting seriously & are looking for another angle to give them an edge. speed figures are essential to any punter in my opinion & i can assure you that this guys are top drawer. there are many angles to look at when analyzing a race & whilst winners are what we all crave when the figures tell you a fav is vulnerable in this day & age the punter can explore every angle & profit accordingly. three things that are gauranteed in this life are that men lie.. women lie.. but figures dont!!! ;-)
jay specializes in maidens & my forte is handicaps so the coming together seemed a natural progression & with the combination of the handicapping & speed figures it is certainly something to look forward to!!

anyone interested in getting involved please tweet @flashfigs with the hashtag #flashfigs & we will point you in the right direction.

many thanks for taking the time to read my blog & best of luck with whatever you decide for your money tomorrow.

regards
ian