Tuesday 25 December 2012

25/12/2012

Evening sportsfans!! and a very merry xmas from all at #teamchoochoo!!! :-) the blog is changing slightly from here on in,i'll still be putting up my selections along with my reasoning behind my selections but i'll be doing a staking plan along the lines as i would back them myself so now you have an insight into the world of a professional gambler & how well i do throughout the year.obviously there will be ups & downs but the target as always will be to turn a regular profit month in month out so without further ado lets get on with it!!! :-)

todays first selection will be my nap for tomorrow and that is..

MERIGO 1.45 WETHERBY (20/1 william hill)

this lad has stamina in abundance & will relish the heavy going & i can assure you he'll be powering on when others have cried enough. 
twice a winner of the scottish national hes not been overburdened with weight & with more questions than answers arising from his opponents he looks massive value here.both the front two in the market ballyoliver & cape tribulation look like lays to me especially ballyoliver who couldnt win a 0-125 last time out & now goes in a field where every horse is rated higher than the top rated in that field.now he is rising 12 & certainly isn't getting any younger but he always takes a couple of runs to get back into the swing of things.last season he was beaten 70l+ on his first two outings before going onto scottish national glory as well as taking in a C3 off a mark of 129.richie mcgrath takes the ride owing to timmy murphys injury & hes a more than ample substitute in my opinion.

GET ME OUT OF HERE 2.35 KEMPTON (20/1 paddy power)

at first sight you might think me slightly drunk for putting this one up but here goes...five runs back he finished 2nd to zarkander off level weights & he gave the 3rd horse that day,raya star,12lbs & he beat him a neck,knowing what we now know i put that performance at around 165 which puts him right in the mix tomorrow.he then followed that up with a massive run off 11-12 in the coral cup as i dont think he truly stays more than 2 miles.he then followed that with a couple of minor victorys before being pitched in against oscar whiskey at ascot.at first look you would say he didnt go on the ground but i dont subscribe to that theory.he pulled very hard for his head that day for more than a mile & was bang there until 3 out when i think his stamina gave way & he was heavily eased.if he flops tomorrow over 2 miles then you have to say he doesn't go on the ground but at likely odds i'm prepared to give him one last chance to show he's a decent tool.

KAUTO STONE 3.10 KEMPTON (8/1 totesport)

i've come to this one more by the process of elimination more than anything else to be honest.theres question marks over literally all of the field in one way or another but the ground is going to be the key at kempton in my opinion & at least we know he goes on it when ploughing through bog like conditions at down royal last time out beating first lieutenant on his first try over 3 miles.in light of that ones run off a mark of 159 in the hennessy you have to take the form seriously & hopefully the nicholls camp can keep it in the family with kauto stars half brother.

here are our suggested bets & stakes..

1pts e/w MERIGO 1.45 WETHERBY 20/1 (nap)
1pts e/w KAUTO STONE 3.10 KEMPTON 8/1 (nb)
0.5pt e/w GET ME OUT OF HERE 2.35 KEMPTON 20/1
0.5pt e/w TRIXIE

total stake: 9pts
returns: 

i will update the returns after the days racing & will be keeping track of our points bank to advised stakes & also our strike rate.hopefully i can give you an insight into my life & how i make my money & show a profit regularly.i hope you've enjoyed reading my blog & any comments you have i would love to hear & if you like what i have to say then why not give me a R/T!! good luck with whatever you decide for you money & happy punting!! :-)

regards
#teamchoochoo

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