Friday 30 August 2013

30/8/2013

Evening sportsfans!! we strolled into town like an old style gunslinger shooting from the hip today.. first the NB rocket rob went in advised @ 7/1 closely followed by laffan who obliged at an advised 10/1 then super frannie norton booted home statutory in the last & only miss tiger lily let us down for the full house & a truly wonderful day but alas it wasn't meant to be but as always our target for the month is a triple figure profit to our advised bets & after todays haul we sit on +98pts for the month & with a day to go amazingly we could hit our target!! a nice winner tomorrow would see us smash the triple figure barrier so heres hoping!! :-)

2pts e/w JOE PACKET 2.05 sandown (nap) 9/1 bet365

has slipped back to his last winning mark & whilst that was a while ago the last time he dropped to this mark was when very unlucky behind doctor parkes over C&D in july. he has a win & a place from his two starts here at sandown & looks a solid e/w bet here.

1pt e/w TRADE COMMISS'NER 3.50 sndwn (nb) 11/1 stan james

this is quite a steep drop in grade for john gosdens charge after some creditable efforts in pattern company. hes still pretty unexposed for a 5yo after only 11 lifetime starts & this might just be the confidence booster he needs to kick start his season & with a 100% record here at sandown there would be no better place to start.


2.40 sandown Solario Stakes 7f Group 3

here we go then lets get this kingman beat & load the gun for the snipers who think james doyle shouldn't have been given the juddmonte farms gig. as regular readers will know i'm not interested in hype, gossip, horses that wake up with a hard on etc. etc. what i'm interested in is facts & figures and quite simply these are the facts..ok he was quite impressive winning his maiden & whilst the two that followed him home have both come out & won a maiden they have both been beat stepped up in class, so basically all we know about him at the minute is that hes roughly 7-10lb better than a horse that was beaten 5l in a fillies G3 & quite alot better than a horse that was beaten off a mark of 78. now the winner of that G3 is godolphins ihtimal which puts that one pretty much on a par formwise with this kingman which puts kingmans debut run roughly at around early to mid 90's. now this is only a rating on what he has done so far, not what he could be but the fact that godolphin take him on with two runners must mean they fancy there chances of beating him. music theory slammed a previous winner 9l when stepped up in trip but the one i like is the white cap of emerald flyer. he brings genuine group form to the table & his 2l defeat by the beast that is no nay never is not far off the best 2yo form seen this season after the american machine destroyed a G1 field in france last weekend. by my reckoning kingman has got to run to around 10lb better than he did on his debut..im not saying he cant..but @ 4/9 i'll be happy to lay this all day when basically he has one opponent with a similiar level of form & another with alot better form in my opinion.

LAY: kingman

BACK: emirates flyer


many thanks for following...

current position to advised bets this month: +98pts

regards
ian

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