Evening sportsfans!! it's here!! it's cheltenham eve!! whoop whoop get ready for the greatest show on turf ladies & gentleman as i think we may be witness to some special performances from some very special horses over the next few days so without further a do lets get stuck straight in...
1.30 CHELTENHAM supreme novices hurdle
alot of people seem to think this is a given with forecast favourite my tent or yours being backed heavily after taking a G3 handicap last time pulling double but firstly he's done all his winning on flat tracks upto now..hows he going to act round here?? secondly he got bogged down on his penultimate start & went from travelling well to finding nothing in the space of five strides & finally this is another step up in class to the highest level & i think he'll be found wanting & the horse i'm taking him on with is DODGING BULLETS from the paul nicholls yard.he's already proven himself on the track & has arguably the best collateral form in the book with his third in the christmas hurdle behind the ill fated darlan looking quite good now & had a couple of useful yardsticks in cinders & ashes and countrywide flame behind him that day on what was unsuitable ground.don't get me wrong i'm certainly not expecting top of the ground tomorrow but the going stick was 4.2 that day at kempton which is the worst i've known it & he pulled far to hard in the early stages leaving the tank empty on the run but it was to his credit he stayed on well for 3rd to be honest.
2.05 CHELTENHAM arkle novices chase
this race is simple.. can OVERTURN shovel enough coal on the burners to get simonsig off the bridle.. i think the answer is YES! i take on board all the superlatives being touted around about the henderson inmate but donald mccains charge is no mug by any stretch of the imagination & he'll find more IF simonsig gets on his quarters i can assure you of that as he's as game as a pebble in all fairness.he was only a couple of pounds off being the best there is over hurdles & only found rock on ruby to good for him in last years champion & IF simonsig does beat him.. he'll of deserved it thats for certain! the only time simonsig was beaten he travelled like the winner until finding little off the bridle & if i'm honest i think he wants slightly further as well.overturn literally hasn't touched a twig this season & has attacked his fences with real gusto & i really think the bookies have this race priced all wrong.
2.40 CHELTENHAM JLT handicap chase
i'll be backing the moore family to win this one with there old warrior FRUITEY O'ROONEY.last years runner up comes here on a pound lower mark & showed his well being last time out finishing behind the venetia williams trained katenko.he looked for all money like he was going to fold like a pack of cards that day but he battled like a terrier to get placed & thats the sort of spirit you need to get you up that hill in front.
3.20 CHELTENHAM champion hurdle
i've spent hours on this & think i must of watched replays of every graded hurdle race thats been run over the last 12 months!! trying to find some value is difficult with such a small field but the only horse who's prep has gone to plan is ZARKANDER.not the most original of selections i know but this season he has the form in the book,will love the ground & more importantly he's a year older than last year & a year wiser.5-y-o's have an awful record in this & last years race was only the fifth of his career.he looks to have strengthened up both physically & mentally this year and his form his absolutly rock solid,simple as that.i had it down to grandouet & this one & on the form of there stan james hurdle running it puts the henderson runner bang there but his prep for the race hasn't exactly gone to plan & he also won't want it to soft.i take on board that hurricane fly has won 14 G1's but all he's proved this season is he's better than thousand stars.at the age of nine he can't be getting any quicker & the 2011 race he won was far from a vintage renewal in my opinion & i'll happily take him on tomorrow.
4.00 CHELTENHAM x-country handicap chase
i'm going to take a chance on the ground being dry enough for SIZING AUSTRALIA.his winning form is on a sound surface but he has some decent placed form on a softer surface & looks to be on a workable mark.this unique course takes some getting round & C&D winners seem to do well as a rule.
BETS SUMMARY:
2pt win zarkandar 3.20 (nap) 4/1 bluesquare
2pt win overturn 2.05 (nb) 7/2 paddypower
1pt e/w dodging bullets 1.30 11/1 coral
1pt e/w fruitey o'rooney 2.40 11/1 paddypower
1pt e/w sizing australia 4.00 14/1 boylesports
well a total of 10pts staked tomorrow on day one & we're going straight for the juggular! there is only ONE festival & it really is the equine olympics!! get stuck in or go home people as there will be no quarter given by punters or bookies come 1.30 tomorrow, simple as that!! i hope you've found my blog both interesting & informative & i wish you the best of luck with whatever you decide for your money tomorrow & happy punting!! #gameon
regards
ian
1.30 CHELTENHAM supreme novices hurdle
alot of people seem to think this is a given with forecast favourite my tent or yours being backed heavily after taking a G3 handicap last time pulling double but firstly he's done all his winning on flat tracks upto now..hows he going to act round here?? secondly he got bogged down on his penultimate start & went from travelling well to finding nothing in the space of five strides & finally this is another step up in class to the highest level & i think he'll be found wanting & the horse i'm taking him on with is DODGING BULLETS from the paul nicholls yard.he's already proven himself on the track & has arguably the best collateral form in the book with his third in the christmas hurdle behind the ill fated darlan looking quite good now & had a couple of useful yardsticks in cinders & ashes and countrywide flame behind him that day on what was unsuitable ground.don't get me wrong i'm certainly not expecting top of the ground tomorrow but the going stick was 4.2 that day at kempton which is the worst i've known it & he pulled far to hard in the early stages leaving the tank empty on the run but it was to his credit he stayed on well for 3rd to be honest.
2.05 CHELTENHAM arkle novices chase
this race is simple.. can OVERTURN shovel enough coal on the burners to get simonsig off the bridle.. i think the answer is YES! i take on board all the superlatives being touted around about the henderson inmate but donald mccains charge is no mug by any stretch of the imagination & he'll find more IF simonsig gets on his quarters i can assure you of that as he's as game as a pebble in all fairness.he was only a couple of pounds off being the best there is over hurdles & only found rock on ruby to good for him in last years champion & IF simonsig does beat him.. he'll of deserved it thats for certain! the only time simonsig was beaten he travelled like the winner until finding little off the bridle & if i'm honest i think he wants slightly further as well.overturn literally hasn't touched a twig this season & has attacked his fences with real gusto & i really think the bookies have this race priced all wrong.
2.40 CHELTENHAM JLT handicap chase
i'll be backing the moore family to win this one with there old warrior FRUITEY O'ROONEY.last years runner up comes here on a pound lower mark & showed his well being last time out finishing behind the venetia williams trained katenko.he looked for all money like he was going to fold like a pack of cards that day but he battled like a terrier to get placed & thats the sort of spirit you need to get you up that hill in front.
3.20 CHELTENHAM champion hurdle
i've spent hours on this & think i must of watched replays of every graded hurdle race thats been run over the last 12 months!! trying to find some value is difficult with such a small field but the only horse who's prep has gone to plan is ZARKANDER.not the most original of selections i know but this season he has the form in the book,will love the ground & more importantly he's a year older than last year & a year wiser.5-y-o's have an awful record in this & last years race was only the fifth of his career.he looks to have strengthened up both physically & mentally this year and his form his absolutly rock solid,simple as that.i had it down to grandouet & this one & on the form of there stan james hurdle running it puts the henderson runner bang there but his prep for the race hasn't exactly gone to plan & he also won't want it to soft.i take on board that hurricane fly has won 14 G1's but all he's proved this season is he's better than thousand stars.at the age of nine he can't be getting any quicker & the 2011 race he won was far from a vintage renewal in my opinion & i'll happily take him on tomorrow.
4.00 CHELTENHAM x-country handicap chase
i'm going to take a chance on the ground being dry enough for SIZING AUSTRALIA.his winning form is on a sound surface but he has some decent placed form on a softer surface & looks to be on a workable mark.this unique course takes some getting round & C&D winners seem to do well as a rule.
BETS SUMMARY:
2pt win zarkandar 3.20 (nap) 4/1 bluesquare
2pt win overturn 2.05 (nb) 7/2 paddypower
1pt e/w dodging bullets 1.30 11/1 coral
1pt e/w fruitey o'rooney 2.40 11/1 paddypower
1pt e/w sizing australia 4.00 14/1 boylesports
well a total of 10pts staked tomorrow on day one & we're going straight for the juggular! there is only ONE festival & it really is the equine olympics!! get stuck in or go home people as there will be no quarter given by punters or bookies come 1.30 tomorrow, simple as that!! i hope you've found my blog both interesting & informative & i wish you the best of luck with whatever you decide for your money tomorrow & happy punting!! #gameon
regards
ian
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