Thursday 20 June 2013

20/6/2013

Evening sportsfans!! nap placed @ 9/1 & nb a n/r sums today up giving us a very marginal profit on the day. lets hope tomorrow can see us back in the winners enclosure...

3.05 Royal Ascot 1m 4f Group 2 King Edward VII stakes

we're going head to head with favourite backers here & taking on the favourite battle of marengo. i'm not so sure he really wants to go this far & whilst he stayed on quite well in the derby he did get first run on alot of rivals there. this faster ground also has to be a concern as hes never raced on a surface this quick in his life & mars and chopin have come out & not exactly set the world alight to advertise the form & both of those horses where on his coat tails at epsom, what the derby form amounts to is still debatable & the fact the winner has been given the lowest BHA rating by a derby winner might give you a rough idea. now onto what beats it.. the one that i think has a real live chance to turn him over is ed dunlops contributor. hes been brought along nicely by his trainer & whilst he was beaten in a two horse race last time out the one that beat him is no mug & favourite for the queens vase later on the card. prior to that he was behind magician at chester & whilst he didnt do much at this meeting you can pretty much put a line through that form as he was stuck out wide with no cover & tugged his chance away but judged on his irish 2000 guineas romp the form looks top notch. battle of marengo had a very hard race in the derby & the race will surely have left its scars & this race will come plenty quick enough for him. the big clincher for me though is the trip as hes by derby winner high chaparral whos offspring excel over a mile & a half and with normal improvement he should serve it right up to the irish raider tomorrow. if your happy to back a horse  @ odds on that has never won over the trip or on the surface then i'll be happy to take your bets all day long!! :-)

LAY: battle of marengo

BACK: contributer e/w @ 14/1 skybet


3.45 Royal Ascot 1m Group 1 Coronation stakes

again i'll be taking on the favourite here as i can't have it from its draw if this weeks anything to go by. that premis also applies to the second favourite sky lantern as shes drawn in no mans land as well. the one i like is the irish filly at the bottom viztoria. on breeding i'm amazed shes had the pace to even compete never mind win races over shorter trips & the further she goes the better she should get being by oratorio out of a darshaan mare. hopefully the forecast rain arrives but i still think shes in with a shout on top of the ground to be honest & looks great value to me.

LAY: just the judge

BACK: viztoria e/w @ 11/1 bet365


many thanks for following..

regards
ian

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