Friday 1 February 2013

1/2/2013

Evening sportsfans!! well the new month certainly didn't get off to a flyer with the nap bitterly disappointing & i must admit i expected much better but tomorrows a new day & a saturday to boot so lets get stuck into it...

1pt e/w MAD MAX 3.00 SANDOWN (nap) 7/1 skybet

this former nicky henderson inmate is reunited with barry geraghty tomorrow who has had three wins from his five mounts aboard the 11-y-o so clearly knows how to get the best out of him but whilst he is eleven he does have very few miles on the clock having had just 17 career starts.he's obviously had his troubles over the years but when you have a look at the horses he's finished behind they include the likes of master minded (twice),sizing europe (twice),for non stop & most recently probably one of the most improving young chasers in training in williams wishes which gives you some idea of the tasks that he faced during his career so off his lowest career handicap mark & against the lowest grade he's faced he must be a nap.my one worry is that he's done all his winning on the flat tracks of newbury, ascot, kempton & aintree so the sandown hill might pose a problem as he's had five tries at getting up cheltenhams hill only to fail at each attempt & as we all know the sandown hill takes no prisoners but the cheltenham races where top class affairs so i might be reading to much into but i'll let you know tomorrow evening!! ;-)

1pt win HOUBLON DES OBEAUX 2.25 SAN (NB) 9/2 ladbrokes

now you may think me slightly mad for opposing the nicky henderson superstar captain conan but he steps up half a mile in trip & on sticky ground i can see him treading water up the sandown hill  as they are sure to go a decent clip with the twiston-davies horse looking like a thorough stayer he's going to be pouring it on from the outset in order to find any chinks in the henderson horses stamina & i think this lad can stalk his prey & pounce late on.last time out he was beaten by court in motion (strong form with the leading staying novice this season dynaste) & prior to that he was 4th behind harry topper.both those runs were at 3m & i think he'll relish this drop back to 20f but the final piece in the jigsaw for me is that in 2nd that day,less than 3l in front,was a horse called benefficient,who slammed captain conan 15l this time last year.now that was over hurdles & yes i know he's improved for fences etc. etc. blah blah blah but odds on?? not a chance & whilst the backers keep coming i'll keep laying!!! many thanks for taking the time to read my blog & i hope you've found it both interesting & informative & i wish you the best of luck with whatever you decide for your money tomorrow & happy punting!! :-)

regards
ian

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