Evening sportsfans!! for a split second today i thought we had found a gem only for it to weaken & finish just out the places although our NB did manage to sneak a place to land us a little place money.all irrelavent really as its winners that we want & hopefully i've found us some value tomorrow...
1pt e/w SMALLJOHN 4.25 WOLVES (nap) 12/1 pp
i wouldn't say i got to this selection by way of default but forecast favourite frontier fighter beat absolutly nothing last time out,the horse in second has come out & been beaten 6l off a mark of 64 & the third,whilst he has won a race since,got beaten off 49 next time out.both his races have been over 1m so far & the drop back in trip is a wonder as being by invincible spirit & how he shaped last time i would of been looking to step up not down.which brings us to the botti horse,haftohaf.now he has close form lines with our selection as he was beaten half a length giving toga tiger 6lbs last time out & our lad was beaten a length by him on his penultimate start giving him 5lbs.however they have put willie twistin-bastard on top & his 5lb claim can prove vital & tip the balance in our favour as our form with toga tiger was over C&D & haftohafs form was over a furlong further & at kempton,a race in which he was staying on in rather than showing blistering pace which again makes me wonder about the drop in trip.add into the mix that our lad is back on a winning mark & is a course specialist with 7 course victories & 4 places on his c.v. he has to be the value in the race for me.
0.5pt e/w FANTASY FIGHTER 3.20 WOLVES (nb) 16/1 pp
basically hes an old rogue who puts it in when it suits him but he does like coming off a strong gallop which is absolutly nailed on tomorrow & i think alot of these could cut each others throats at the head of affairs.hes got form lines to beat the majority of this field one way or another but the real eyecatcher has to be luke morris doing 8-7?? this will only be his 5th start for ron harris & hes got gradually closer each time so i've got in the back of my mind a bit of a plot appearing to materialise here.
well a pretty lifeless start to the month if we're brutally honest although this past week or so we have clouted the woodwork on numerous occasions which in a way at least i know i'm pretty near the mark,if not quite nailing it!! :-( we just need to start a nice little run going to take us nicely into the NH festivals of cheltenham & aintree as after all,cheltenham is next month!! #whoop.many thanks for taking the time to read my blog & as always i wish you the best of luck with whatever you decide for your money tomorrow & happy punting!! :)))
regards
ian
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