Wednesday 11 March 2015

cheltenham day three 2015

quiet day today for me after the roller coaster of day one but don poli again made me a meagre profit on the day after simply ned ran a respectable race in the champion in fifth but no more than that. two days in though & two days with a shade of profit after pretty much not getting an awful lot right i'll take all day but i've got three e/w fancies tomorrow so hopefully some decent profit.


BALDER SUCCESS 2.40 (nap) 8/1 paddy power

insane springs to mind considering his bare form at cheltenham is FUF but if you judge the race on bare form he has to be in there with a major chance over what i consider his best trip. fourth in the tingle creek behind the one two in todays champion chase then finishing second to special tiara, third in todays champion chase. in behind on both occasions was third intention who since came out & beat arkle thjird jossies hill, as you can see this is serious form in the book. he then effortlessly beat fox appeal when stepped up in trip who again backed up on his next run with a solid run off a mark of 149 in a handicap. then he got his chase G1 in the book last time with a solid run in the betfair chase & hes now three from three over 2m4f+ over fences. the course form has to be a worry but for me he has the form in & looks good.


BLUE FASHION 3.20 (nb) 14/1 paddy power 

again the form this one has in the book is standout for me. was two lengths behind current title holder more of that trying to give him 6lb which we now know was a near impossible task & tyen runner up behind subsequent champion hurdle winner faugheen, ok he was never going to trouble him bu the the fact is in this country hes only ever been beaten by proven G1 championship winning horses. the trip is an obvious concern & also the drying ground but at the prices i think he looks a cracking e/w bet as on pedigree hes got every chance of getting it.


EDGARDO SOL 4.00 (iwac) 25/1 paddy power

quite simply im convinced theres a big handicap in this lad & hes knocked on the door on more than one occasion this season. im hoping the drying ground will be just what he needs after a couple of runs on soft the last twice and out runs his price into a place at the very least.


hopefully all three give a good account & if balder had some course form i'd be over him like a tramp on chips but i'd just play the three at level stakes e/w & an e/w trixie to be honest & best of luck if you follow. again these are just my thoughts & in no way am i recommending you follow or invest. 

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